The Republicon Mythology Continued:
A
fundamental tenet of Republicon ideology is the supply-side theory that if you
just cut the marginal tax rates for the wealthy, they will be incentivized to consume
more, to increase their business investments, and to provide major boosts to
domestic economic growth. This has been the hidebound Republican assertion ever
since Herbert Walker Bush blasphemed his party by raising marginal tax rates in
November of 1990. This “trickle down”
economic theory has a long history and was better known as “Horse and Sparrow”
theory in the late 1800s – since the basic notion here was that if you just fed
the horse more oats (i.e. beneficial tax policies for the rich) those horses
would “pass through” some undigested oats for the sparrows (i.e.. the 47
percenters). Indeed, it’s really all
B.S. isn’t it???
One
of the important tests of this particular philosophy was portrayed in a recent CBO
analysis of the effects of changes in the marginal tax rates upon a variety of
economic outcomes. That report was presented on September 14, 2012, and then
pulled at the request of Republican Senate leader Mitch McConnell.(http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/business/questions-raised-on-withdrawal-of-congressional-research-services-report-on-tax-rates.html?_r=0)
There
were two principal findings: a) analysis strongly suggested that reduction in
top tax rates had virtually no association with saving, investment, or
productivity growth; and b) reductions in top tax rates were however strongly
associated with increases in the “shares” of the income pie held by the
wealthiest (Apparently the horse “held on” to a lot of those oats).
Still,
all of those findings occur in an economic maze, completely disconnected from a
more serious examination of underlying Republican and Democratic policies that
have contributed to these outcomes. A non-voting Reagan Republican and
political scientist at Princeton, Larry Bartels insists that the political governance
of the two parties is critical to the outcomes. He finds (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/12/AR2008061203779.html)
in his outstanding analysis of partisan differences in income outcomes, that
partisan differences have had major effects upon income inequality.
Specifically, he concludes that the income gap increased under presidents
Eisenhower, Nixon, Ford, Reagan, and the Bushes, while it declined under 4 of 5
Democratic presidents. Republicans worry about inflation (which has negligible
effects on income growth at the bottom of the income distribution, but
substantial effects at the top).
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